04 · STATISTICAL QUESTIONS

What can statistics solve in training?

Statistics does not turn every observation into a conclusion. It helps me frame a question, define variables, quantify uncertainty, and decide what evidence should come next.

01

Does greater strength accompany greater speed?

Variables
Estimated squat 1RM × flying 10m, 40-yard, and 100m time
Method
Scatterplots, correlation, and simple regression
Limitation
Strength, technique, maturation, and recovery change together.
02

Does training have a delayed effect?

Variables
Weekly lifting volume × performance 7, 14, and 28 days later
Method
Lagged comparisons and rolling averages
Limitation
A small personal dataset can suggest timing, not prove a mechanism.
03

Is a personal best a breakthrough or an outlier?

Variables
Repeated trials under similar conditions
Method
Mean, standard deviation, z-scores, and confidence intervals
Limitation
One exceptional result needs replication.
04

When does improvement begin to plateau?

Variables
Estimated 1RM, sprint time, and jump height across weeks
Method
Moving averages and change-point comparisons
Limitation
A plateau may reflect fatigue, measurement noise, or a real limit.
05

What changed around injury and return?

Variables
Load, RPE, sleep, pain notes, and performance before and after injury
Method
Segmented timelines and before–after summaries
Limitation
This documents association and is not medical or causal evidence.
06

Is the relationship between strength and speed linear?

Variables
Relative strength × sprint outcomes across the training history
Method
Linear and curved model comparison
Limitation
More complex models can easily overfit a small dataset.
THE ROLE OF MATHEMATICS
Sport gives me questions that numbers alone cannot answer. Statistics gives me a disciplined way to investigate them without pretending every change has a simple cause.